U.S.

Hegseth Likely Survives as Defense Secretary Through November

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?”

unlikely (22%)
Leading outcome Yes 22% Unlikely · Stable · A peak 34% (1d ago) · low 28% probably not → unlikely
24h move ▼ 11.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $188K $521K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-01
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? Kalshi · Before Jul 1, 2028 91% · -2.0 24h
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 42% · -9.0 24h
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 22% · -11.0 24h
Pete Hegseth departure announced? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2027 50% · -9.0 24h
Pete Hegseth impeached by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 60% · +10.0 24h
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