Worldodds favor 2.7-2.8M

Iran's Rial Holds Above 2.7 Million Per Dollar as Sanctions Freeze In Place

By Priced In News Staff

2.7-2.8M: leaning yes (70%)

Leading outcome 2.7-2.8M 70% Leaning yes · B a coin flip → leaning yes venues disagree 21.5pp

24h move ▼ 2.0 pts 2.7-2.8M

Traded 24h $29K $132K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-01 in 1 day

Where the money stands

2.7-2.8M 70% ▼ 2.0

2.8M+ 21% ▲ 17.7

2.6-2.7M 11% ▼ 15.2

2.5-2.6M 0% 0.1

<2.3M 0% 0.0

2.3-2.4M 0% 0.0

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 28 99% · +0.5 24h

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 66% · +5.0 24h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 29 100% · +0.8 24h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -1.0 24h

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 8% · -1.0 24h

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 14% · +1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 12% · +1.0 24h

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · -1.5 24h

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Polymarket · Yes 90% · +7.0 24h

US-Iran nuclear deal? Kalshi · Before Jan 20, 2029 39% · +1.0 24h

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 18% · -1.0 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 0%

Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 30% · +1.5 24h

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Polymarket · December 31 6%

USD x Iranian rials End of October? Polymarket · 2.7-2.8M 70% · -2.0 24h

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Polymarket · December 31 3% · -1.4 24h

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 34% · +5.5 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 6% · +1.0 24h