Tesla Q3 Deliveries Now Lean Toward 475,000–500,000 Vehicles
Source: Polymarket market “How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?”
475k to 500k: leaning yes (67%)
Leading outcome
475k to 500k 67%
Leaning yes · D
unlikely → leaning yes
24h move
▲
43.0 pts
475k to 500k
Traded 24h
$14K
$20K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-30
in 1 day
Where the money stands
475k to 500k
67%
▲
43.0
450k to 475k
18%
▼
26.0
500k to 525k
8%
▼
2.0
525k to 550k
5%
▲
1.0
425k to 450k
4%
▼
11.3
400k to 425k
3%
▼
6.3
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