World

The US-Yemen Ceasefire Is Very Likely to Hold Through Late September

By Priced In News Staff

very likely (97%)

Leading outcome September 22 97% Very likely · C leaning yes → very likely

24h move ▲ 3.4 pts September 22

Traded 24h $13K $14K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-31

Where the money stands

September 22 97% ▲ 3.4

September 25 95% ▲ 15.0

September 30 89% ▲ 23.5

October 9 85% ▲ 30.0

October 31 72% ▲ 20.5

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · September 30 96% · +2.1 24h

Israel military action against Yemen by...? Polymarket · December 31 38% · -15.0 24h

Houthi military action against Israel by...? Polymarket · September 30 1% · -5.9 24h

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · September 22 97% · +3.4 24h