Curiosities

An Anthropic Lab Leak Is Very Unlikely Before Mid-2027

By Priced In News Staff

very unlikely (10%)

Leading outcome June 30, 2027 10% Very unlikely · B unlikely → very unlikely venues disagree 36.8pp

24h move ▼ 4.0 pts June 30, 2027

Traded 24h $21K $21K all time

Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

June 30, 2027 10% ▼ 4.0

December 31, 2026 3% ▼ 9.8

Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 71% · -9.5 24h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · $2.0–$2.25T 24% · -1.1 24h

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 88% · -2.0 24h

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 94% · +0.5 24h

Anthropic lab leak by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · -4.0 24h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) Polymarket · 600B+ 96%

In which month will Anthropic IPO? Polymarket · November 2026 58% · -9.3 24h

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75–$2.00T 46% · -2.0 24h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) Polymarket · 1.8T+ 84%

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 94% · +2.0 24h

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Polymarket · $1.5T 90% · -3.1 24h

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi · Morgan Stanley 80%

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 94%

Which banks will take Anthropic public? Kalshi · Mizuho 84%