Finance

OpenAI Is Unlikely to Go Bankrupt Before 2030

By Priced In News Staff

unlikely (20%)

Leading outcome December 31, 2029 20% Unlikely · B venues disagree 37.7pp

24h move 0.0 pts December 31, 2029

Traded 24h $28K $28K all time

Resolves by 2030-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2029 20% 0.0

December 31, 2028 16% 0.0

December 31, 2027 8% 0.0

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 93% · -0.5 24h

Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 86% · -1.0 24h

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2029 20%

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2029 20%

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 87%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · $2.0–$2.25T 25% · -1.9 24h

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 96% · +0.7 24h

In which month will Anthropic IPO? Polymarket · October 2026 54% · +2.0 24h

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · 1.5T+ 71% · +0.9 24h

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 94%

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Jun 1, 2027 54% · +26.0 24h

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 91% · -1.0 24h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) Polymarket · 600B+ 96%

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75T–$2.0T 25%

OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 57% · +1.0 24h

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) Polymarket · 1.8T+ 78%

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75–$2.00T 48%

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Polymarket · $1.5T 93%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Polymarket · $800B 96%

Which banks will take OpenAI public? Kalshi · Allen & Company 99%

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi · Morgan Stanley 81%

Which banks will take Anthropic public? Kalshi · Mizuho 84%

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%