World

The Strait of Hormuz Remains a War Zone Through September

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?”

virtually certain (98%)
Leading outcome September 21 98% Virtually certain · Rising · B · tracked 9 days peak 99% · low 76% (7d ago)
24h move 0.0 pts September 21
Traded 24h $79K $154K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-30 in 3 days
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

September 21 98% 0.0
September 23 98% 0.0
September 27 63% ▲ 39.5
September 30 54% ▲ 17.5
September 29 51% ▲ 1.5
September 28 50% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 0%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 74% · +1.0 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 20% · -2.0 24h
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? Polymarket · September 21 98%
The Money Talks — The Strait of Hormuz Is Virtually Certain to Stay a War Zone Through September
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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