World

Saudi Military Action Against Yemen Appears Imminent This Week

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?”

leaning yes (71%)
Leading outcome September 21 71% Leaning yes · C
24h move 0.0 pts September 21
Traded 24h $26K $3K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-30

Where the money stands

September 21 71% 0.0
September 22 71% 0.0
September 24 67% 0.0
September 27 56% 0.0
September 25 51% 0.0
September 28 50% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Xi Jinping Is Very Likely to Visit the US Before 2027

very likely (97%)

Conviction has firmed from likely to very likely, with the timing window compressing — a surge in near-term September dates signals traders believe the visit is not just coming but coming soon, making a high-stakes bilateral meeting before year-end the working assumption.

Updated 12:45 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
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World odds favor AfD

AfD's Lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Narrows Sharply, SPD Surging

AfD: leaning yes (62%)

What had been a near-certain AfD victory a fortnight ago is now only a lean — the SPD has clawed back enough ground to make this competitive, and the broader German state-election picture shows the right's dominance is less settled than it appeared.

Updated 6:32 PM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $333K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 23 days range 94% (15d ago) – 74% (1d ago) resolves in 2 days probably not → leaning yes 4 tier changes
World United Russia (ER) on track to win

United Russia Is Likely to Top the Parliamentary Elections

United Russia (ER): likely (76%)

The conviction upgrade — from leaning yes to likely — reflects growing confidence in the Kremlin's electoral machinery, though a 64% chance United Russia sweeps every region suggests the dominance has limits, and this market has shifted enough times to treat 'likely' as the ceiling, not the floor.

Updated 11:07 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.3M markets read 8 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 51 days range 80% (4d ago) – 60% (49d ago) resolves in 2 days trending in today's news leaning yes → likely 2 tier changes