Claude Opus Is Now Favored to Drop September 22
Source: Polymarket market “Next Claude Opus released on...?”
September 22: leaning yes (71%)
Leading outcome
September 22 71%
Leaning yes · Falling · B
peak 44% (2d ago) · low 34%
probably not → leaning yes
24h move
▲
41.9 pts
September 22
Traded 24h
$204K
$249K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-01
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
September 22
71%
▲
41.9
September 24
14%
▲
2.6
September 23
9%
▲
1.8
September 25
3%
0.2
September 30
2%
▲
0.7
No release by September 30
2%
▼
8.1
Source markets for this story
Next Claude Opus released on...?
Polymarket · September 22 71% · +41.9 24h
Next Claude Opus released by...?
Polymarket · October 31 99% · +3.1 24h
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