Finance

Gemini 4.0 Is Very Likely Out Before December

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Gemini 4.0 released by...?”

very likely (93%)
Resolved The money put November 30 at 86% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome November 30 93% Very likely · Falling · A · tracked 57 days peak 96% (3d ago) · low 12% (52d ago) leaning yes → very likely 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 0.7 pts November 30
Traded 24h $248K $888K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-01
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

November 30 93% ▲ 0.7
October 31 88% ▲ 7.0
October 15 66% ▲ 19.5
October 5 44% 0.0
October 10 44% 0.0
October 2 24% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Gemini 4.0 released by...? Polymarket · November 30 93% · +0.7 24h
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? Polymarket · October 31 45% · -37.5 24h
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? Polymarket · No release by September 30 100% · +11.5 24h
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released? Polymarket · No release by November 1 52% · +30.5 24h
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1490+ 78% · -13.7 24h
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...? Polymarket · No release by October 31 52% · +31.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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What had been a likely October launch has collapsed to a dead heat — a conviction-tier drop that suggests a delay signal reached the market. Gemini 4.0 by November still looks very likely, so the question is weeks, not months; but in AI, a month's delay can matter enormously given the competitive stakes reflected in the related AI model ranking markets.

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