Variational Launches Above $100 Million in Fully Diluted Value
Source: Polymarket market “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
$100M 99%
Virtually certain · Falling · C · tracked 53 days
peak 99% (8d ago) · low 76% (46d ago)
very likely → virtually certain
5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
0.9 pts
$100M
Traded 24h
$59K
$2.7M all time
Resolves by
2028-01-01
Where the money stands
$100M
99%
▲
0.9
$200M
98%
0.0
$300M
96%
0.0
$500M
92%
▼
1.0
$800M
84%
▲
5.0
$1B
75%
▲
8.5
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