World

Trump Invoking War Powers in Yemen by September 30 Remains Unlikely

By Priced In News Staff

unlikely (18%)

Leading outcome Yes 18% Unlikely · B virtually impossible → unlikely

24h move ▲ 16.1 pts Yes

Traded 24h $20K $41K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-01

Source markets for this story

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 19% · -2.5 24h

Houthis successfully target shipping by...? Polymarket · September 30 48% · -2.0 24h

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...? Polymarket · September 23 62% · +6.5 24h

CD Cuenca vs. Mushuc Runa SC - More Markets Polymarket · O/U 0.5 100% · +13.0 24h

Israel military action against Yemen by...? Polymarket · December 31 52% · +7.5 24h

Houthis enter Aden by...? Polymarket · December 31 30% · -4.5 24h

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 18% · +16.1 24h