U.S.odds favor Ashley Hinson

Ashley Hinson Is Increasingly Favored to Hold Iowa for Republicans

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Iowa Senate winner?”

Ashley Hinson: leaning yes (57%)
Resolved The money put Ashley Hinson at 61% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Ashley Hinson 57% Leaning yes · Rising · A · tracked 66 days peak 67% (36d ago) · low 54% (24d ago) 3 tier changes over tracking period venues agree
24h move 0.0 pts Ashley Hinson
Traded 24h $150K $5.5M all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 33 33 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Ashley Hinson 57% 0.0
Josh Turek 44% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 62%
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 62% · +1.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 91% · -3.6 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 60% · +9.4 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 64%
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 68% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 62%
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 62%
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 85% · -1.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 57%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 35%
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 65% · +5.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 90%
Montana Senate winner? Kalshi · Kurt Alme 91%
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 66% · +4.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 57%
Blue wave in 2026? Kalshi · Yes 79%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 63% · +1.2 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 47 15%
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 100% · +2.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 61% · +2.5 24h
MN-05 House winner? Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 94%
AL-02 House winner? Kalshi · Rhett Marques 74% · +1.0 24h
PA-01 House winner? Kalshi · Brian Fitzpatrick 65% · +1.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 96% · -0.5 24h
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo Polymarket · Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 34% · -2.0 24h
Idaho Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) 96%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Chris Pappas (D) 90% · +2.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Katie Hobbs (D): very likely (92%)

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Updated 4:54 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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traded today $15K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 73 days range 92% (13d ago) – 84% (71d ago) likely → very likely 3 tier changes venues agree