Finance

OpenAI Is Likely to Announce AGI Before 2030

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “When will OpenAI achieve AGI?”

very likely (93%)
Leading outcome Before 2028 93% Very likely · A
24h move ▲ 59.2 pts Before 2028
Traded 24h $44K $700K all time
Resolves by 2030-01-01
Source markets 9 9 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Before 2028 93% ▲ 59.2
Before 2030 65% ▲ 0.5
Before 2027 20% ▲ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 86% · -1.0 24h
Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 55% · -11.1 24h
GPT-6 released by…? Polymarket · October 31, 2026 100% · +3.5 24h
Best AI in Sep 2026? Kalshi · Claude 83% · -4.0 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 55% · -15.5 24h
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? Kalshi · Before 2028 93% · +59.2 24h
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 78% · -14.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of October? Polymarket · Anthropic 75% · -5.5 24h
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 25% · +6.0 24h
The Money Talks — GPT-6 Is Very Likely Here Before Year-End — and Sooner Than Anyone Expected
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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