The 10-Year Treasury Yield Will Remain Above 5.10% Through October
Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
5.11% or above 99%
Virtually certain · B
24h move
0.0 pts
5.11% or above
Traded 24h
$45K
$45K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-08
Today
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
5.11% or above
99%
0.0
5.13% or above
99%
0.0
5.15% or above
99%
0.0
5.17% or above
99%
0.0
5.21% or above
99%
0.0
5.23% or above
99%
0.0
Source markets for this story
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?
Kalshi · 5.11% or above 99%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket · 5.10% 86% · -2.6 24h
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