Curiosities

Trump Is Virtually Certain to Discuss Oil, Ossoff, and Healthcare at His Georgia Rally

Source: Kalshi market “What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome Oil / Gas / Gasoline 99% Virtually certain · B venues disagree 11.2pp
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Traded 24h $71K $81K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-30
Source markets 42 42 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Oil / Gas / Gasoline 99% ▲ 4.0
Dividend / Stimulus 97% ▲ 3.0
Ossoff 97% ▲ 2.0
Transgender 96% ▲ 1.0
Healthcare 96% ▼ 1.0
Save America Act 95% 0.0

Source markets for this story

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 62% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 64%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62% · +1.0 24h
Georgia Governor winner? Kalshi · Rick Jackson 54%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 69% · +1.0 24h
New York Governor winner? Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 94%
Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 90% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 62%
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 59% · -1.0 24h
Texas Governor winner? Kalshi · Greg Abbott 77% · -4.0 24h
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...? Polymarket · December 31 26% · -5.5 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 64%
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 97% · +3.9 24h
Nevada Governor winner? Kalshi · Aaron Ford 52%
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 57%
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 62% · -1.0 24h
What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? Kalshi · Oil / Gas / Gasoline 99% · +4.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 56% · +2.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 81% · +2.4 24h
MN-05 House winner? Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 94%
Nevada Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 53% · -1.5 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 60%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? Kalshi · Above 38.7 42% · +19.0 24h
FL-25 House winner? Kalshi · Jared Moskowitz 79% · +4.0 24h
Mississippi Senate winner? Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 90% · -1.9 24h
New York Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 94% · -1.0 24h
NY-23 House Election Winner Polymarket · Nick Langworthy (R) 97% · +1.2 24h
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana? Polymarket · Job 13+ times 100% · +37.0 24h
MN-06 House Election Winner Polymarket · Tom Emmer (R) 95%
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 60%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 52%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84%
PA-16 House Election Winner Polymarket · Mike Kelly (R) 96% · +1.1 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 88%
Ohio Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 72%
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