U.S.38.8% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Locked at 38.8%

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026?”

38.8%: very likely (93%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 38.8% at 93% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 38.8% 93% Very likely · B
24h move 0.0 pts 38.8%
Traded 24h $329K $340K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-24 Today

Where the money stands

38.8% 93% 0.0
Below 38.7% 5% ▼ 16.0
38.7% 2% ▼ 9.0
38.9% 2% 0.0
39.0% 1% 0.0
39.1% 1% 0.0
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