U.S.40.2% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Locked at 40.2% for Sunday's Reading

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?”

40.2%: very likely (94%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 40.2% at 94% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 40.2% 94% Very likely · C unlikely → very likely
24h move ▲ 77.0 pts 40.2%
Traded 24h $183K $195K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-21 Today

Where the money stands

40.2% 94% ▲ 77.0
40.1% 3% ▼ 42.0
40.0% 2% ▼ 12.0
40.3% 2% ▼ 6.0
Above 40.4% 2% ▲ 1.0
Below 39.8% 1% ▼ 2.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page