U.S.odds favor Below 38.6%

Trump's Approval Rating Increasingly Looks Stuck Below 38.6

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?”

Below 38.6%: leaning yes (66%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Leading outcome Below 38.6% 66% Leaning yes · C
24h move 0.0 pts Below 38.6%
Traded 24h $130K $130K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-21 Today

Where the money stands

Below 38.6% 66% 0.0
38.6% 14% 0.0
38.7% 9% 0.0
38.8% 8% 0.0
Above 39.2% 2% 0.0
38.9% 1% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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