U.S.odds favor Nithya Raman

Los Angeles Mayor's Race Is Now a Dead Heat

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Los Angeles Mayor winner?”

Nithya Raman: leaning yes (55%)
Resolved The money put Karen Bass at 67% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Nithya Raman 55% Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 56 days peak 68% (37d ago) · low 56%
24h move ▲ 11.0 pts Nithya Raman
Traded 24h $536K $33.7M all time
Resolves by 2027-06-02
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Where the money stands

Nithya Raman 55% ▲ 11.0
Karen Bass 45% ▼ 12.0

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 55% · +11.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 55% · +11.7 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Updated 8:51 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $345K markets read 35 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 56 days range 92% (0d ago) – 86% (50d ago) trending in today's news 5 tier changes venues disagree 29.3pp
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What was a losing position yesterday is now a narrow lead — but at 55% against Karen Bass's 46%, this is a dead-heat by any practical measure, and the race remains genuinely open through election day.

Updated 8:48 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $151K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 52 days range 68% (40d ago) – 56% (0d ago) probably not → leaning yes venues agree
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