U.S.odds favor Lauren Boebert

Lauren Boebert Favored but Slipping in Colorado's CO-04 Race

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “CO-04 House winner?”

Lauren Boebert: leaning yes (69%)
Leading outcome Lauren Boebert 69% Leaning yes · B venues disagree 27.4pp
24h move ▼ 3.0 pts Lauren Boebert
Traded 24h $50K $117K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 23 23 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Lauren Boebert 69% ▼ 3.0
Eileen Laubacher 32% ▲ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 92%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 64%
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 65%
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 68% · +3.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 57% · -2.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 65% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 64% · +1.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 66%
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 56% · -1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64% · +0.5 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 44%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 72% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 86%
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 87%
CO-04 House winner? Kalshi · Lauren Boebert 69% · -3.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 74% · +1.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 89% · +1.0 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 58% · -1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 88%
MN-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Matt Little (D) 92% · -2.7 24h
The Money Talks — The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Are Very Likely to Retake the House in 2026

Democratic Party: very likely (92%)

A full sweep — House and Senate both flipping — is now priced at roughly 60%, meaning the House race is nearly settled in the money's view while the Senate remains genuinely competitive; Texas and Ohio are the fulcrums that separate a wave from a split result.

Updated 8:51 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $345K markets read 23 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 68 days range 94% (1d ago) – 86% (62d ago) trending in today's news 5 tier changes venues disagree 27.4pp
U.S. wide open

Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Presidential Race at Just 21%

JD Vance: unlikely (21%)

No candidate commands real authority in this field: Vance holds the Republican nomination at roughly even odds but converts that to only a 21% general-election share, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff crowd the Democratic lane — a genuinely fragmented race with no prohibitive favorite on either side.

Updated 6:42 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $862K markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 68 days range 25% (32d ago) – 20% (65d ago) trending in today's news venues disagree 31.2pp
U.S. odds favor Greg Abbott (R)

Greg Abbott Likely Holds Texas, but Gina Hinojosa Is Closing

Greg Abbott (R): likely (75%)

Republican dominance in Texas is eroding to its weakest reading on record, mirroring a national pattern where Georgia and Nevada governor races have also tightened — the midterm environment is squeezing incumbents across the Sun Belt.

Updated 4:49 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $50K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 40 days range 86% (39d ago) – 74% (0d ago) trending in today's news venues disagree 3.5pp