World

DeepSeek's Market Share Has Surged Well Past 26% This Week

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “DeepSeek market share this week”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome Above 22% 99% Virtually certain · C
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Above 22%
Traded 24h $36K $67K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-17 in 2 days

Where the money stands

Above 22% 99% ▲ 1.0
Above 24% 98% ▲ 14.0
Above 26% 94% ▲ 63.0
Above 28% 2% ▼ 6.0
Above 30% 1% ▼ 3.0
Above 32% 1% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Iran and Oman Are Likely Headed for a Hormuz Management Deal by September

leaning yes (74%)

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Israel Is Likely Staying Beyond the Litani Through Year-End

very unlikely (10%)

A ceasefire condition is becoming a permanent feature of the landscape — with withdrawal odds collapsing to near-single digits, the Litani line is hardening into a de facto Israeli frontier, not a temporary buffer.

Updated 12:35 AM ET ▼ down overnight
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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: leaning yes (64%)

The opposition remains fragmented across Flávio Bolsonaro and others, and no single challenger has consolidated enough support to mount a credible threat — Lula's incumbency advantage looks durable rather than merely nominal.

Updated 7:04 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $388K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B