U.S.

Crypto Market Structure Legislation Probably Will Not Pass Before 2028

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Will the Clarity Act become law?”

unlikely (22%)
Resolved The money put Before Jan 1, 2028 at 45% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Before Jan 1, 2028 22% Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 55 days peak 67% (28d ago) · low 21% (5d ago) probably not → unlikely 9 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 12.0 pts Before Jan 1, 2028
Traded 24h $54K $5.3M all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Before Jan 1, 2028 22% ▼ 12.0
Before Oct 1, 2027 16% ▼ 4.0
Before Jul 1, 2027 10% ▼ 4.0
Before Jan 1, 2027 8% 0.0
Before Apr 1, 2027 7% ▼ 9.0
Before Dec 1, 2026 6% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -1.2 24h
Will the Clarity Act become law? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2028 22% · -12.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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