U.S.a real race

Trump's Approval Rating Appears Headed Toward 40 by Late September

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?”

40.0 to 40.2: probably not (30%)
Leading outcome 40.0 to 40.2 30% Probably not · C very unlikely → probably not
24h move ▲ 21.0 pts 40.0 to 40.2
Traded 24h $38K $44K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-25 in 4 days
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

40.0 to 40.2 30% ▲ 21.0
39.7 to 39.9 22% 0.0
39.4 to 39.6 15% ▼ 9.0
40.3 to 40.5 12% ▲ 7.0
Above 40.5 7% ▲ 4.0
39.1 to 39.3 6% ▼ 11.0

Source markets for this story

Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? Kalshi · 40.0 to 40.2 30% · +21.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page