U.S.Elaine Luria on track to win

Elaine Luria Is Likely to Reclaim Virginia's Second District

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “VA-02 House winner?”

Elaine Luria: likely (85%)
Leading outcome Elaine Luria 85% Likely · C
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Elaine Luria
Traded 24h $81K $224K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Elaine Luria 85% ▲ 2.0
Jen Kiggans 15% ▼ 2.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Democrats Sweep: leaning yes (66%)

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Updated 4:54 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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James Talarico (D): leaning yes (64%)

A Democratic win in Texas would signal a broader Senate map expansion; read alongside Democratic leads in Ohio and a strong hold in Alaska, the money now favors a Senate pickup environment that extends well beyond safe territory.

Updated 6:17 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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U.S. wide open

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JD Vance: unlikely (21%)

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Updated 6:42 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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