U.S.Kelly Ayotte on track to win

Kelly Ayotte Is Very Likely to Hold New Hampshire's Governorship

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “New Hampshire Governor winner?”

Kelly Ayotte: very likely (91%)
Leading outcome Kelly Ayotte 91% Very likely · A venues agree
24h move ▲ 1.1 pts Kelly Ayotte
Traded 24h $56K $99K all time
Resolves by 2029-11-07
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Kelly Ayotte 91% ▲ 1.1
Cinde Warmington 10% 0.2

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 57% · -1.0 24h
Vermont Governor winner? Kalshi · Phil Scott 85% · -8.1 24h
Florida Governor winner? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79% · +5.0 24h
California Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 95%
New Hampshire Governor winner? Kalshi · Kelly Ayotte 91% · +1.1 24h
Florida Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 78% · +5.5 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 58%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. odds favor Democratic Party

Democrats Increasingly Favored to Retake the Senate

Democratic Party: leaning yes (64%)

With Ohio and Texas both leaning Democratic and the House already near-certain to flip, the money now prices a full Democratic sweep of Congress at 61% — a unified opposition government that would reshape the final two years of any Republican White House agenda.

Updated 5:34 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $130K markets read 30 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 57 days range 66% (1d ago) – 50% (32d ago) trending in today's news 2 tier changes venues disagree 29.2pp
U.S. Byron Donalds (R) on track to win

Byron Donalds Is Likely to Win the Florida Governor's Race

Byron Donalds (R): likely (80%)

Florida's governorship looks like safe Republican territory, with David Jolly unable to close the gap — the race is competitive enough to watch but not to flip.

Updated 9:00 PM ET ▲ drifting up for days
the numbers
traded today $18K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 9 days range 80% (7d ago) – 72% (1d ago) leaning yes → likely 2 tier changes venues agree
U.S. wide open

Jon Ossoff Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Democratic Presidential Field

Jon Ossoff: unlikely (17%)

With no candidate cracking 20% in a field this fractured, the Democratic nomination is genuinely up for grabs — J.D. Vance meanwhile holds a coin-flip grip on the Republican side, making 2028 a race with no clear favorite in either party.

Updated 1:29 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $1.4M markets read 7 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 58 days venues disagree 31.1pp