U.S.Byron Donalds on track to win

Byron Donalds Is Likely Florida's Next Governor as Republicans Dominate the State

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Florida Governor winner?”

Byron Donalds: likely (82%)
Leading outcome Byron Donalds 82% Likely · B
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Byron Donalds
Traded 24h $41K $289K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Byron Donalds 82% ▲ 4.0
David Jolly 20% ▼ 3.0

Source markets for this story

Florida Republican Governor primary: voter turnout Kalshi · Above 1.45M 99%
Florida Governor winner? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 82% · +4.0 24h
Florida Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory Polymarket · Donalds 20–25% 99% · +10.1 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Democratic Party: likely (85%)

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Updated 10:45 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $94K markets read 6 venue Kalshi grade B trending in today's news
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Scott Jennings: probably not (37%)

Alina Habba's collapse from frontrunner to also-ran reshuffles a genuinely unsettled field — and with an announcement likely before October, the White House faces a credibility decision about who it trusts at the podium.

Updated 10:49 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $231K markets read 3 venue Kalshi grade B
U.S. Darline Graham on track to win

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Darline Graham: likely (86%)

The seat itself is almost certain to stay Republican, making Graham's primary victory the effective election — Ralph Norman's modest surge suggests some residual doubt, but the race is not genuinely open.

Updated 11:45 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $900K markets read 3 venue Kalshi grade A