Finance

The Next Grok Model Will Not Reach Top-Tier Benchmark Scores

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?”

virtually impossible (1%)
Leading outcome 1470+ 1% Virtually impossible · B probably not → virtually impossible venues disagree 7.9pp
24h move ▼ 8.3 pts 1470+
Traded 24h $18K $48K all time
Resolves by 2027-06-30
Source markets 10 10 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

1470+ 1% ▼ 8.3
1480+ 1% ▼ 1.9
1500+ 1% ▼ 0.9
1490+ 0% ▼ 2.6
1450+ 0% ▼ 40.6
1460+ 0% ▼ 14.1

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 74% · +2.3 24h
Best Chinese AI Company end of September? Polymarket · Xiaomi 87% · +86.1 24h
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th Kalshi · Xiaomi 79% · +77.0 24h
Anthropic market share this week Kalshi · Above 2.3% 99%
DeepSeek market share this week Kalshi · Above 23.0% 96% · -3.0 24h
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1500+ 99% · +13.8 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 100%
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? Polymarket · 45%+ 93% · -0.6 24h
Best Chinese AI Company end of October? Polymarket · Xiaomi 34% · +32.1 24h
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut? Polymarket · 1470+ 1% · -8.3 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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