Finance

Ethos Will Launch Above $35M in Fully Diluted Value

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Ethos FDV above ___ one day after launch?”

virtually certain (98%)
Leading outcome $12M 98% Virtually certain · D
24h move 0.1 pts $12M
Traded 24h $16K $54K all time
Resolves by 2028-01-01

Where the money stands

$12M 98% 0.1
$25M 97% ▲ 1.1
$18M 96% ▲ 2.2
$35M 90% ▼ 2.5
$50M 69% ▼ 12.0
$75M 27% ▼ 9.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance

10-Year Treasury Yields Are Likely to Hit 5.4% Before 2027

likely (82%)

The 30-year yield is very likely to breach 5.7% on the same horizon, painting a picture of broad long-end pressure — not a single spike. What was leaning yes yesterday is now likely, though this market has crossed conviction rungs 17 times and the shift should be read as directional signal, not a settled verdict.

Updated 3:47 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $26K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 69 days range 98% (24d ago) – 40% (29d ago) trending in today's news very likely → likely 17 tier changes
Finance

Bitcoin's Rally to $90,000 This Year Is Now in the Balance

leaning yes (60%)

The downside buckets are gaining ground — a drop below $70,000 is now priced at 38% — signaling that the bull case is eroding fast after what had been a 92% certainty just 47 days ago; the current read is a lean, not a conviction.

Updated 7:52 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $646K markets read 22 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 71 days range 92% (47d ago) – 64% (0d ago) trending in today's news 13 tier changes
Finance No change on track to win

The Fed Will Likely Hold Rates Again in October

No change: likely (84%)

A hike has been effectively ruled out, and the broader policy path — with a December hold now favored and January 2027 still leaning toward no change — points to an extended pause rather than any imminent pivot in either direction.

Updated 10:30 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $546K markets read 8 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 71 days range 84% (0d ago) – 50% (20d ago) 5 tier changes