World

Iran Has Targeted Jordan

By Priced In News Staff

virtually certain (99%)

Leading outcome September 15 99% Virtually certain · A

24h move ▲ 46.9 pts September 15

Traded 24h $33K $33K all time

Resolves by 2026-09-30

Where the money stands

September 15 99% ▲ 46.9

September 30 99% ▲ 33.1

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16% · +1.0 24h

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · August 31 100%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · December 31 61%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 3%

Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 29% · +3.5 24h

Israel closes its airspace by...? Polymarket · September 30 10% · +3.0 24h

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 75% · -1.0 24h

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 8% · +1.0 24h

Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? Polymarket · Yes 97% · +70.8 24h

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 10%

Trump out as President before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -1.0 24h

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Polymarket · March 31, 2027 56% · -3.0 24h

Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 26%

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? Polymarket · December 31 36% · -1.5 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 28% · -1.0 24h

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Polymarket · No Meeting by September 30 89% · +2.9 24h

Will Iran target an Arab country by...? Polymarket · September 15 99% · +17.6 24h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 6% · -1.0 24h

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · September 30 8% · -1.5 24h

Iran invades Kuwait by...? Polymarket · December 31 10% · -15.5 24h

Will Iran target Jordan by...? Polymarket · September 15 99% · +46.9 24h

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 28%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 10%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · October 31 36% · +2.0 24h

Iran leader end of 2026? Polymarket · Mojtaba Khamenei 83%