Core PCE Inflation Looks Stuck Above 3% Through Late Summer
Source: Polymarket market “Core PCE YoY - August 2026”
3.4%: probably not (34%)
Leading outcome
3.4% 34%
Probably not · C
unlikely → probably not
24h move
▼
3.5 pts
3.4%
Traded 24h
$15K
$42K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-30
Source markets
3
3 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
3.4%
34%
▼
3.5
3.2%
30%
▲
2.0
3.3%
19%
▼
3.5
3.1%
16%
▲
9.5
≤3.0%
6%
▲
2.6
3.5%
0%
▼
6.0
Source markets for this story
September Inflation US - Annual
Polymarket · 3.6% 45% · +2.0 24h
Core PCE YoY - August 2026
Polymarket · 3.4% 34% · -3.5 24h
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
Polymarket · 2.4% 43% · +3.5 24h
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