SPD Is Likely to Clear 31% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Source: Polymarket market “Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?”
31%+: likely (82%)
Leading outcome
31%+ 82%
Likely · Rising · B · tracked 9 days
peak 72% · low 43% (8d ago)
leaning yes → likely
24h move
▲
12.5 pts
31%+
Traded 24h
$25K
$81K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-20
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
31%+
82%
▲
12.5
28-31%
18%
▼
2.0
25-28%
1%
▼
8.8
<25%
0%
▼
0.5
Source markets for this story
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
Polymarket · 31%+ 82% · +12.5 24h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Polymarket · Linke 86% · +9.0 24h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket · SPD 80% · +4.0 24h
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
Polymarket · 8-11% 55% · +0.5 24h
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