World

The Strait of Hormuz Remains Blocked — and Nobody Expects Trump to Rename It Either

By Priced In News Staff

very unlikely (5%)

Leading outcome Yes 5% Very unlikely · Stable · A

24h move ▼ 1.3 pts Yes

Traded 24h $47K $68K all time

Resolves by 2027-01-01

Source markets for this story

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Polymarket · Yes 2% · -0.5 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 26% · -2.0 24h

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 70% · -5.0 24h

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 5% · -1.3 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? Polymarket · Yes 0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...? Polymarket · August 31 0%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Polymarket · December 31 8%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 9% · -1.5 24h

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · September 30 6% · -1.0 24h

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · October 31 29% · -14.0 24h

Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -1.5 24h

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 16% · -2.0 24h

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · -4.5 24h