WorldLula on track to win

Lula Is Likely to Dominate Paraíba in the First Round

By Priced In News Staff

Lula: very likely (93%)

Leading outcome Lula 93% Very likely · B

24h move ▼ 3.7 pts Lula

Traded 24h $17K $27K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-04

Where the money stands

Lula 93% ▼ 3.7

Escritor Augusto Cury 1% 0.4

Edmilson Costa 1% 0.1

Hertz Dias 1% 0.1

Renan Santos 1% 0.1

Ronaldo Caiado 1% 0.1

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 86% · -2.0 24h

Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 55% · -1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Polymarket · Augusto Cury 50% · -2.8 24h

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Polymarket · Yes 6% · +1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba Polymarket · Lula 93% · -3.7 24h

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? Polymarket · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97% · +0.7 24h