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Grüne Are Likely to Win at Least 25 Seats in Berlin

Source: Polymarket market “Berlin State Elections: Grüne # of seats?”

25+ seats: likely (80%)
Leading outcome 25+ seats 80% Likely · D very likely → likely
24h move ▼ 11.6 pts 25+ seats
Traded 24h $15K $36K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-20

Where the money stands

25-29 36% ▲ 8.0
30-34 30% ▼ 17.5
20-24 14% ▲ 7.5
35-39 13% ▼ 2.5
<20 6% ▲ 5.4
45+ 1% 0.3
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page