World

Russia Has Captured Svitle

Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia capture Svitle by...?”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome December 31 99% Virtually certain · Rising · B · tracked 84 days peak 99% · low 31% (83d ago) likely → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $29K $124K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-01 in 1 day
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31 99% ▲ 4.0
October 31 98% ▲ 12.1

Source markets for this story

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 16% · -3.0 24h
Will Russia capture Svitle by...? Polymarket · December 31 99% · +4.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 54%
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page