Russia's Capture of Svitle Looks Unlikely Before October, Though the Broader Push Creeps Forward
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia capture Svitle by...?”
probably not (32%)
Leading outcome
October 31 32%
Probably not · B
24h move
▲
2.4 pts
October 31
Traded 24h
$29K
$35K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-31
Source markets
3
2/3 markets agree
Where the money stands
October 31
32%
▲
2.4
August 31
7%
▼
5.0
Source markets for this story
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
Polymarket · October 31 32% · +2.4 24h
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
Polymarket · August 15 100% · +23.2 24h
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?
Polymarket · October 31 56% · -3.0 24h
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