Russia Has Captured Svitle
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia capture Svitle by...?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
December 31 99%
Virtually certain · Rising · B · tracked 84 days
peak 99% · low 31% (83d ago)
likely → virtually certain
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$29K
$124K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-01
in 1 day
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31
99%
▲
4.0
October 31
98%
▲
12.1
Source markets for this story
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 16% · -3.0 24h
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
Polymarket · December 31 99% · +4.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 54%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Get an alert when Russia Ukraine War moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.