Tokyo's August 7 Peak Looks Set to Land Around 33°C as an Extreme Heat Scenario Fades
Source: Polymarket market “Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?”
Leading outcome
32°C 36%
Contested · B
24h move
▲
16.5 pts
32°C
Traded 24h
$13K
$14K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-07
in 1 day
Source markets
18
18 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
32°C
36%
▲
16.5
33°C
36%
▲
3.0
31°C
18%
▲
10.0
34°C
6%
▼
25.0
30°C
4%
▲
1.0
35°C
2%
▼
8.0
Source markets for this story
Highest temperature in Munich on August 7?
Polymarket · 27°C 54% · +19.0 24h
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Polymarket · 34°C 44% · +9.0 24h
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Polymarket · 33°C 42% · +13.5 24h
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 7?
Polymarket · 22°C or below 24%
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 7?
Polymarket · 33°C 30% · +8.0 24h
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 7?
Polymarket · 37°C 44% · +8.5 24h
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 7?
Polymarket · 35°C 40% · +10.0 24h
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 7?
Polymarket · 35°C 46% · +10.0 24h
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
Polymarket · 26°C 36% · -0.5 24h
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Polymarket · 39°C 48% · +19.5 24h
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 7?
Polymarket · 33°C 48% · +6.0 24h
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
Polymarket · 32°C 36% · +16.5 24h
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 7?
Polymarket · 78-79°F 52%
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
Polymarket · 13°C 56% · -1.0 24h
Highest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Polymarket · 27°C 50% · +1.5 24h
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
Polymarket · 37°C 32% · +10.0 24h
Highest temperature in Busan on August 7?
Polymarket · 36°C 53% · +18.5 24h
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 7?
Polymarket · 34°C 44% · +8.5 24h
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