U.S.one clear front-runner

Lindsey Graham Is Poised for a Narrow Senate Win, Not a Blowout

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory”

Graham 5-10%: probably not (42%)
Leading outcome Graham 5-10% 42% Probably not · A
24h move ▲ 13.5 pts Graham 5-10%
Traded 24h $28K $49K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 24 24 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Graham 5-10% 42% ▲ 13.5
Graham 0-5% 28% ▼ 5.5
Andrews Wins 18% 0.0
Graham 10-15% 4% ▼ 8.2
Graham 15-20% 2% ▼ 1.8
Graham 20-25% 1% ▼ 4.3

Source markets for this story

Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 67% · -1.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 65%
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 82%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 69%
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 88% · +1.0 24h
Idaho Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) 97% · +1.6 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · -1.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner? Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 76% · +3.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% · +2.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 90% · +1.4 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 70%
Kansas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 72% · +1.5 24h
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 58%
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 70% · -1.5 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · +0.5 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 54% · -3.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 90%
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 67% · +1.5 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 88%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 82% · +0.5 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Graham 5-10% 42% · +13.5 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74%
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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