Finance

Gemini Reaching 60% on Humanity's Last Exam This Year Remains a Long Shot

By Priced In News Staff

probably not (32%)

Leading outcome 60%+ 32% Probably not · B

24h move ▼ 1.5 pts 60%+

Traded 24h $15K $134K all time

Resolves by 2027-01-01

Where the money stands

60%+ 32% ▼ 1.5

65%+ 12% ▲ 0.5

70%+ 4% 0.0

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 44% · +1.1 24h

Which company has the best AI model end of October? Polymarket · Google 71%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? Polymarket · December 31 97% · +1.8 24h

Best AI this week Kalshi · Gemini 75% · -12.0 24h

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Kalshi · Before Nov 13, 2026 36% · +17.0 24h

Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 42% · +1.0 24h

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? Polymarket · 45%+ 99% · +13.2 24h

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? Polymarket · December 31 93% · +8.5 24h

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? Polymarket · October 15 20% · +14.5 24h

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut? Polymarket · 45%+ 99% · +15.4 24h

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026? Polymarket · 60%+ 32% · -1.5 24h