World

Trump Will Likely Strike No New Trade Deal with Any Major Partner This Year

Source: Polymarket market “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”

unlikely (19%)
Leading outcome Canada 19% Unlikely · D
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts Canada
Traded 24h $14K $381K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Canada 19% ▲ 0.5
India 17% ▼ 3.5
Israel 16% ▲ 0.5
Taiwan 16% 0.0
Vietnam 14% ▲ 1.5
Indonesia 14% 0.0
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