World

Russia Will Not Test a Nuclear Weapon This Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Russia nuclear test by...?”

very unlikely (6%)
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 6% Very unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 28 days
24h move 0.4 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $19K $6.2M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 6% 0.4
September 30, 2026 2% 0.4

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 93% · +1.0 24h
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? Polymarket · China 52% · -5.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31 14% · +1.0 24h
The Money Talks — A NATO-Russia Clash by 2026 Is a Tail Risk, Not a Coming War
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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United Russia (ER): likely (76%)

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traded today $304K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 47 days range 80% (0d ago) – 60% (45d ago) resolves in 6 days trending in today's news