U.S.leaning Fishback <10%

James Fishback Is Headed for Single Digits in the Florida GOP Primary

Source: Polymarket market “James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?”

Fishback <10%: a coin flip (52%)
Leading outcome Fishback <10% 52% A coin flip · Rising · A
24h move ▲ 17.0 pts Fishback <10%
Traded 24h $37K $103K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-18 in 1 day
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Fishback <10% 52% ▲ 17.0
Fishback 10–15% 34% ▼ 10.0
Fishback 15–20% 10% ▼ 3.5
Fishback 30%+ 2% ▲ 0.5
Fishback 20–25% 2% ▼ 1.5
Fishback 25–30% 1% ▼ 1.5

Source markets for this story

Florida Republican Governor nominee? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 99% · +0.6 24h
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner Polymarket · Byron Donalds 99% · +0.5 24h
Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place Polymarket · Jay Collins 82% · +6.0 24h
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary? Polymarket · Fishback <10% 52% · +17.0 24h
Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place Kalshi · Jay Collins 76% · -2.0 24h
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