Finance

U.S. Home Values Face a Dead Heat Over Whether They'll Hold Above $419K in September

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?”

Leading outcome <$419K 55% Leaning · D
24h move ▲ 18.7 pts <$419K
Traded 24h $14K $48K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-30

Where the money stands

<$419K 55% ▲ 18.7
$419K - $426K 24% ▼ 14.1
$426K - $433K 12% ▼ 8.6
$433K - $440K 2% ▼ 4.3
$440K - $447K 0% ▼ 2.2
$447K - $454K 0% ▼ 0.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

↓ $75 78% Likely ↓ Falling $523K today 6 markets A

WTI Crude Likely Dips Below $75 This August Even as Upside Bets Surge

The floor is more certain than the ceiling — a touch of $75 to the downside is likely while bets on an $80 print surge as a live contender, painting a picture of a volatile August range rather than a directional breakout in either direction.

Above -25,000 96% Near-certain ▲ 1.0 $93K today Today 4 markets A

July Jobs Growth Is Positive, but the Size Is Shrinking Fast

A payroll collapse is virtually off the table, yet the field has shifted sharply away from robust gains — the money now leans toward a narrowly positive but underwhelming report, the kind that keeps a Fed cut live without vindicating the economy.

No change 48% Contested ↓ Falling ▼ 4.0 $1.6M today 9 markets A

The Fed's September Decision Is a True Coin Flip — Leaning Toward a Hike

A cut this year is essentially off the table, and with a hike now the marginal lean for September, the Fed's posture has quietly shifted from 'on hold' to 'tightening bias' — a material repricing of where rates are headed through 2027.