U.S.odds favor James Talarico (D)

James Talarico Edges Ahead as Democrats Favor Texas Senate Seat

Source: Polymarket market “Texas Senate Election Winner”

James Talarico (D): leaning yes (64%)
Resolved The money put James Talarico (D) at 52% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome James Talarico (D) 64% Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 65 days peak 64% · low 50% (20d ago)
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts James Talarico (D)
Traded 24h $260K $2.0M all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 11 11 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

James Talarico (D) 64% ▲ 4.0
Ken Paxton (R) 36% ▼ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 65% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64% · +4.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 66% · -2.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 66% · -2.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 63% · +4.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 44% · -2.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 59% · -1.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 88% · -2.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72% · +2.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page