James Talarico Edges Ahead as Democrats Favor Texas Senate Seat
Source: Polymarket market “Texas Senate Election Winner”
James Talarico (D): leaning yes (64%)
Leading outcome
James Talarico (D) 64%
Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 65 days
peak 64% · low 50% (20d ago)
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
James Talarico (D)
Traded 24h
$260K
$2.0M all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
11
11 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
James Talarico (D)
64%
▲
4.0
Ken Paxton (R)
36%
▼
2.0
Source markets for this story
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 65% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64% · +4.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 66% · -2.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 66% · -2.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 63% · +4.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 44% · -2.0 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 59% · -1.0 24h
Florida Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Moody 88% · -2.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72% · +2.0 24h
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