World

Israeli Forces Are Unlikely to Enter Tyre Before September

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?”

Leading outcome August 31 16% Contested · D
24h move ▲ 2.5 pts August 31
Traded 24h $11K $100K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

June 30, 2027 29% Contested ↑ Rising ▲ 6.5 $204K today 25 markets A

Iran's Leadership Looks Stable for Now, But Pressure Is Building

A leadership change remains a real but minority scenario — the money sees roughly one-in-three odds spread across multiple windows, with near-term and year-end timelines both gaining ground, suggesting bettors see compounding instability rather than a single flashpoint.

United Russia (ER) 64% Leaning ↑ Rising ▲ 1.5 $71K today 2 markets B

United Russia Increasingly Favored to Dominate the Next Parliamentary Election

Putin's party holds a clear but not commanding lead — the 36% residual uncertainty reflects genuine skepticism about whether managed elections can fully suppress a fractured opposition, with New People fading as the main alternative bet.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 66% Leaning ▲ 2.0 $626K today 2 markets B

Lula Increasingly Favored to Win Brazil's 2026 Election

The opposition remains fractured, with Flávio Bolsonaro holding a distant second and no challenger consolidating the anti-Lula vote — that fragmentation is Lula's greatest structural asset heading into October.