Marine Le Pen Is Likely to Reach France's Presidential Runoff — but Cannot Win It Alone
Source: Polymarket market “Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?”
likely (88%)
Leading outcome
Marine Le Pen 88%
Likely · C
very likely → likely
24h move
▼
0.5 pts
Marine Le Pen
Traded 24h
$18K
$152K all time
Resolves by
2027-04-30
Source markets
2
2 markets · all agree
Where the money stands
Marine Le Pen
88%
▼
0.5
Édouard Philippe
46%
▲
3.0
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
44%
▼
1.5
David Lisnard
10%
▼
5.2
Raphaël Glucksmann
7%
0.0
Sarah Knafo
7%
▲
2.4
Source markets for this story
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 35%
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 88% · -0.5 24h
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