Finance0 (0 bps) on track to win

The Fed Is Very Likely to Hold Rates Steady All of 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?”

0 (0 bps): very likely (96%)
Leading outcome 0 (0 bps) 96% Very likely · Stable · A · tracked 70 days peak 97% (9d ago) · low 85% (50d ago) 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.2 pts 0 (0 bps)
Traded 24h $36K $53.9M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

0 (0 bps) 96% 0.2
1 (25 bps) 2% 0.1
2 (50 bps) 1% 0.1
3 (75 bps) 0% 0.0
4 (100 bps) 0% 0.0
5 (125 bps) 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Fed Decision in October? Polymarket · No change 84% · +1.0 24h
Fed decision in Oct 2026? Kalshi · Fed maintains rate 84% · +1.0 24h
Fed Decision in December? Polymarket · 25 bps increase 74%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Polymarket · 0 (0 bps) 96%
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026 Polymarket · No change 94% · +9.0 24h
Fed Decision in January? Polymarket · No change 64% · +2.0 24h
The Money Talks — The Fed Likely Holds Rates Steady in October — And the Case Is Getting Stronger
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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