World

An Ebola Pandemic in 2026 Is Not Happening

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Ebola pandemic in 2026?”

very unlikely (3%)
Leading outcome Yes 3% Very unlikely · C
24h move ▼ 1.2 pts Yes
Traded 24h $34K $755K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

A US-Iran Ceasefire Is Likely in Place Before October

likely (78%)

The pause is holding — and hardening fast, with traders now pricing a September 4 ceasefire as a 61% proposition, suggesting the truce may arrive well ahead of the deadline. A final nuclear deal remains a distant prospect at 10%, meaning this is a managed standoff, not a resolution.

Updated 2:53 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $144K markets read 12 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 6 days range 76% (0d ago) – 68% (4d ago)
World

A Hormuz Management Deal Remains Elusive Through October

probably not (40%)

Normal Strait traffic by year-end is also unlikely at 24%, and a complete-closure scenario is now a live risk at 40% — Hormuz is stuck in a dangerous limbo where neither diplomacy nor force has resolved the standoff, and a US-Iran deal looks far off.

Updated 11:33 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $82K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 33 days range 90% (32d ago) – 26% (3d ago)
World leaning Gadi Eizenkot

Eizenkot Holds a Razor-Thin Lead to Become Israel's Next Prime Minister

Gadi Eizenkot: a coin flip (51%)

With public attention at its peak and Netanyahu still priced at 30%, the race is functionally a two-man contest — but Eizenkot's 51% is a coin flip, not a mandate, and any shift in the conflict's trajectory could flip it. The money is not calling this; it is confessing it cannot.

Updated 10:43 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $468K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 40 days range 58% (14d ago) – 47% (2d ago) trending in today's news