Harry Kane Leads the Ballon d'Or Race With Yamal Closing Fast
Source: Polymarket market “Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”
Harry Kane: leaning yes (56%)
Leading outcome
Harry Kane 56%
Leaning yes · Rising · B · tracked 53 days
peak 67% (15d ago) · low 50% (52d ago)
3 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 4.3pp
24h move
▲
0.8 pts
Harry Kane
Traded 24h
$203K
$37.5M all time
Resolves by
2026-10-31
Source markets
2
2 markets · all agree
Where the money stands
Harry Kane
56%
▲
0.8
Lamine Yamal
22%
▼
0.9
Kylian Mbappé
7%
0.3
Lionel Messi
5%
▼
1.8
Rodri
4%
0.0
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Polymarket · Harry Kane 56% · +0.8 24h
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Kalshi · Harry Kane 56% · +1.0 24h
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