World

Trump Will Not Visit North Korea This Year

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Trump visit North Korea by...?”

very unlikely (8%)
Leading outcome December 31 8% Very unlikely · C
24h move ▲ 0.6 pts December 31
Traded 24h $36K $117K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Iran's Blockade Ends This Year, but the Strait Stays Broken

likely (80%)

A ceasefire is locked in and the blockade's days are numbered — yet Hormuz shipping remains effectively paralyzed through the near term, with normal traffic unlikely to resume by year-end and a final nuclear deal still a long shot, leaving the Gulf in a volatile limbo even after the guns fall silent.

Updated 1:58 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.4M markets read 28 venue Polymarket grade A
World

Russia Is All but Certain to Purge Yabloko Before the 2026 Vote

very likely (97%)

The Kremlin is eliminating its last credible liberal opposition party ahead of parliamentary elections, ensuring United Russia faces no meaningful ideological challenge — a formality that confirms Russian electoral politics has become pure theater.

Updated 1:58 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $172K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B trending in today's news
World leaning Gadi Eizenkot

Eizenkot Holds a Narrow Lead to Become Israel's Next Prime Minister

Gadi Eizenkot: a coin flip (52%)

A dead-heat signal in a high-attention race: Eizenkot's 52% edge over Netanyahu's 32% is real but razor-thin, and Lieberman's quiet uptick suggests the field hasn't fully consolidated — Israel's post-war political order remains genuinely unsettled.

Updated 4:35 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $22K venue Polymarket grade C trending in today's news